**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models point to a daily maximum of 29–30 °C in the Seoul-Incheon area on 26 August 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light westerly flow, and residual moisture from recent showers, limiting intense daytime heating. A heat wave peaked on 24–25 August with highs reaching 34–36 °C and heat advisories in effect, but increasing cloud cover and scattered rain (5–20 mm possible) on the 26th are expected to moderate temperatures. Historical August means for Incheon show daytime maxima near 29 °C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering around 29–31 °C. Model consensus favors a high near 29–30 °C, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rain timing and cloud thickness; any clearer breaks could push readings toward 31 °C, while heavier or earlier precipitation would favor the lower side. Official KMA updates and the final Incheon station observation on resolution day remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は？
8月26日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は？
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 24%
28°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
24%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 24%
28°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
23°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$145 Vol.
1%
27°C
$318 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,020 Vol.
6%
29°C
$1,333 Vol.
24%
30°C
$290 Vol.
40%
31°C
$390 Vol.
27%
32°C
$176 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$477 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models point to a daily maximum of 29–30 °C in the Seoul-Incheon area on 26 August 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.**
Late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light westerly flow, and residual moisture from recent showers, limiting intense daytime heating. A heat wave peaked on 24–25 August with highs reaching 34–36 °C and heat advisories in effect, but increasing cloud cover and scattered rain (5–20 mm possible) on the 26th are expected to moderate temperatures. Historical August means for Incheon show daytime maxima near 29 °C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering around 29–31 °C.
Model consensus favors a high near 29–30 °C, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rain timing and cloud thickness; any clearer breaks could push readings toward 31 °C, while heavier or earlier precipitation would favor the lower side. Official KMA updates and the final Incheon station observation on resolution day remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$5,249終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models point to a daily maximum of 29–30 °C in the Seoul-Incheon area on 26 August 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.**
Late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light westerly flow, and residual moisture from recent showers, limiting intense daytime heating. A heat wave peaked on 24–25 August with highs reaching 34–36 °C and heat advisories in effect, but increasing cloud cover and scattered rain (5–20 mm possible) on the 26th are expected to moderate temperatures. Historical August means for Incheon show daytime maxima near 29 °C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering around 29–31 °C.
Model consensus favors a high near 29–30 °C, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rain timing and cloud thickness; any clearer breaks could push readings toward 31 °C, while heavier or earlier precipitation would favor the lower side. Official KMA updates and the final Incheon station observation on resolution day remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,249終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models point to a daily maximum of 29–30 °C in the Seoul-Incheon area on 26 August 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Late-summer conditions feature high humidity, light westerly flow, and residual moisture from recent showers, limiting intense daytime heating. A heat wave peaked on 24–25 August with highs reaching 34–36 °C and heat advisories in effect, but increasing cloud cover and scattered rain (5–20 mm possible) on the 26th are expected to moderate temperatures. Historical August means for Incheon show daytime maxima near 29 °C, providing climatological context for the tight clustering around 29–31 °C. Model consensus favors a high near 29–30 °C, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rain timing and cloud thickness; any clearer breaks could push readings toward 31 °C, while heavier or earlier precipitation would favor the lower side. Official KMA updates and the final Incheon station observation on resolution day remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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