Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, suppressing daytime maximum temperatures ahead of August 24. Official guidance from INMET alongside ECMWF and GFS model runs indicates highs most likely between 17°C and 21°C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects partially offsetting radiative cooling at night. This narrow spread in guidance—driven by differences in frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Traders are watching the final pre-event INMET forecast and Mirante de Santana station observations for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
8月24日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
20°C 31%
19°C 24%
21°C 23%
18°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
31%
21°C
23%
22°C
9%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 31%
19°C 24%
21°C 23%
18°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
15°C or below
$44 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$85 Vol.
1%
17°C
$383 Vol.
5%
18°C
$831 Vol.
11%
19°C
$1,671 Vol.
24%
20°C
$596 Vol.
31%
21°C
$478 Vol.
23%
22°C
$844 Vol.
9%
23°C
$551 Vol.
4%
24°C
$276 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$53 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, suppressing daytime maximum temperatures ahead of August 24. Official guidance from INMET alongside ECMWF and GFS model runs indicates highs most likely between 17°C and 21°C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects partially offsetting radiative cooling at night. This narrow spread in guidance—driven by differences in frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Traders are watching the final pre-event INMET forecast and Mirante de Santana station observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
音量
$5,812終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, suppressing daytime maximum temperatures ahead of August 24. Official guidance from INMET alongside ECMWF and GFS model runs indicates highs most likely between 17°C and 21°C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects partially offsetting radiative cooling at night. This narrow spread in guidance—driven by differences in frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Traders are watching the final pre-event INMET forecast and Mirante de Santana station observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,812終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRecent passage of a cold front over São Paulo state has advected cooler polar maritime air, suppressing daytime maximum temperatures ahead of August 24. Official guidance from INMET alongside ECMWF and GFS model runs indicates highs most likely between 17°C and 21°C under variable cloud cover and southeasterly winds of 10–18 km/h, with urban heat-island effects partially offsetting radiative cooling at night. This narrow spread in guidance—driven by differences in frontal timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer mixing—explains the tightly bunched market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Traders are watching the final pre-event INMET forecast and Mirante de Santana station observations for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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