**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures. Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
8月23日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
24°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$11,744 Vol.
$11,744 Vol.
2026/08/23
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$11,744 Vol.
$11,744 Vol.
2026/08/23
20°C or below
$430 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,824 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,767 Vol.
100%
25°C
$1,797 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$954 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$255 Vol.
1%
28°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$936 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures.
Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean.
Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
音量
$11,744終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures.
Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean.
Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,744終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects stable winter high-pressure conditions and model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and CPTEC, which place the daily maximum near the long-term August average of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather align with a high around 23°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter temperatures. Climatological context reinforces the outcome: August represents the dry season in southeastern Brazil, with typical highs ranging 20–25°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent days have shown similar calm conditions, supporting minimal deviation from the mean. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front advecting cooler maritime air (potentially dropping the high to 22°C or below) or clearer-than-expected skies allowing extra solar heating toward 25–26°C. INMET’s final station readings will determine resolution, and any late forecast revisions from official monitoring could still shift the exact threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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