Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model consensus project sunny conditions with southwest winds for Busan on August 24, supporting daytime highs of 32–34°C amid ongoing summer heat. This positions the 35°C outcome as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, as traders weigh potential for localized warming above official guidance at the primary observation station, while 34°C and 36°C each hold 23.5% amid minor model spread. Persistent regional warmth without significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest runs reinforces these central outcomes over lower or extreme values. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could further refine peak timing before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の釜山の最高気温は?
35℃ 49%
36°C 24%
34°C 22%
33℃ 5%
28℃以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
1%
32℃
1%
33℃
5%
34°C
22%
35℃
49%
36°C
24%
37°C
3%
38℃以上
1%
35℃ 49%
36°C 24%
34°C 22%
33℃ 5%
28℃以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
1%
32℃
1%
33℃
5%
34°C
22%
35℃
49%
36°C
24%
37°C
3%
38℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model consensus project sunny conditions with southwest winds for Busan on August 24, supporting daytime highs of 32–34°C amid ongoing summer heat. This positions the 35°C outcome as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, as traders weigh potential for localized warming above official guidance at the primary observation station, while 34°C and 36°C each hold 23.5% amid minor model spread. Persistent regional warmth without significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest runs reinforces these central outcomes over lower or extreme values. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could further refine peak timing before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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