Close odds between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below reflect genuine forecast uncertainty for Busan’s overnight low on August 25. Late-summer conditions over the East Sea allow rapid shifts from warm, humid maritime air to cooler northeasterly flow, modulated by cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any passing short-wave trough. Global and regional models (KMA, ECMWF, GFS) currently diverge on boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling rates, keeping the distribution broad around the 23–27 °C range. New 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus updated surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の釜山の最低気温は?
20°C or below 97%
30°C or higher 96%
21°C 80%
25°C 46%
20°C or below
97%
21°C
80%
22°C
24%
23°C
41%
24°C
41%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
42%
28°C
41%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
96%
20°C or below 97%
30°C or higher 96%
21°C 80%
25°C 46%
20°C or below
97%
21°C
80%
22°C
24%
23°C
41%
24°C
41%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
42%
28°C
41%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Close odds between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below reflect genuine forecast uncertainty for Busan’s overnight low on August 25. Late-summer conditions over the East Sea allow rapid shifts from warm, humid maritime air to cooler northeasterly flow, modulated by cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any passing short-wave trough. Global and regional models (KMA, ECMWF, GFS) currently diverge on boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling rates, keeping the distribution broad around the 23–27 °C range. New 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus updated surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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