Recent observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 91.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Clear skies, light southwest winds, and a shallow or absent marine layer kept overnight radiative cooling limited amid an ongoing warm spell with daytime highs reaching the mid-80s to mid-90s. This placed the low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average near 65°F. Updated model runs and real-time surface data reinforced expectations of minimal overnight drops, while historical analogs for late-August warm periods in the Los Angeles Basin support similarly elevated minima. A shift in marine layer depth or unexpected coastal stratus could have lowered readings toward 66-68°F, but no such development materialized before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 22?
70-71°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
68-69°F 1.0%
$3,472 Vol.
$3,472 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
70-71°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
68-69°F 1.0%
$3,472 Vol.
$3,472 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
57°F or below
$798 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$132 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$132 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,360 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$53 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$47 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$63 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$282 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$207 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$243 Vol.
No
76°F or higher
$153 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 91.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Clear skies, light southwest winds, and a shallow or absent marine layer kept overnight radiative cooling limited amid an ongoing warm spell with daytime highs reaching the mid-80s to mid-90s. This placed the low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average near 65°F. Updated model runs and real-time surface data reinforced expectations of minimal overnight drops, while historical analogs for late-August warm periods in the Los Angeles Basin support similarly elevated minima. A shift in marine layer depth or unexpected coastal stratus could have lowered readings toward 66-68°F, but no such development materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volume
$3,472End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 91.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Clear skies, light southwest winds, and a shallow or absent marine layer kept overnight radiative cooling limited amid an ongoing warm spell with daytime highs reaching the mid-80s to mid-90s. This placed the low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average near 65°F. Updated model runs and real-time surface data reinforced expectations of minimal overnight drops, while historical analogs for late-August warm periods in the Los Angeles Basin support similarly elevated minima. A shift in marine layer depth or unexpected coastal stratus could have lowered readings toward 66-68°F, but no such development materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,472End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 91.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Clear skies, light southwest winds, and a shallow or absent marine layer kept overnight radiative cooling limited amid an ongoing warm spell with daytime highs reaching the mid-80s to mid-90s. This placed the low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average near 65°F. Updated model runs and real-time surface data reinforced expectations of minimal overnight drops, while historical analogs for late-August warm periods in the Los Angeles Basin support similarly elevated minima. A shift in marine layer depth or unexpected coastal stratus could have lowered readings toward 66-68°F, but no such development materialized before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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