**Incoming polar air advection and clear-sky radiative cooling are the main drivers splitting trader views on Buenos Aires’ August 24 minimum.** A cold air mass moving northward from Patagonia is expected to lower temperatures across the Río de la Plata region overnight into the 24th, with models showing surface temperatures potentially falling to near or below 0 °C under light winds and minimal cloud cover. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 9–11 °C, so any significant departure hinges on the strength and timing of this cold surge. Numerical weather prediction runs differ on the exact minimum—some keep readings in the 4–7 °C range while others allow brief dips to –2 °C or lower—creating the tight clustering around the –2 °C-or-below, 4 °C, and 8 °C-or-higher outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model consensus expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
-2°C or below 38%
8°C or higher 38%
4°C 37%
6°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
38%
-1°C
22%
0°C
21%
1°C
28%
2°C
28%
3°C
29%
4°C
37%
5°C
21%
6°C
37%
7°C
2%
8°C or higher
38%
-2°C or below 38%
8°C or higher 38%
4°C 37%
6°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
$2 Vol.
38%
-1°C
$0 Vol.
22%
0°C
$0 Vol.
21%
1°C
$0 Vol.
28%
2°C
$0 Vol.
28%
3°C
$0 Vol.
29%
4°C
$0 Vol.
37%
5°C
$0 Vol.
21%
6°C
$0 Vol.
37%
7°C
$15 Vol.
2%
8°C or higher
$15 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming polar air advection and clear-sky radiative cooling are the main drivers splitting trader views on Buenos Aires’ August 24 minimum.**
A cold air mass moving northward from Patagonia is expected to lower temperatures across the Río de la Plata region overnight into the 24th, with models showing surface temperatures potentially falling to near or below 0 °C under light winds and minimal cloud cover. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 9–11 °C, so any significant departure hinges on the strength and timing of this cold surge. Numerical weather prediction runs differ on the exact minimum—some keep readings in the 4–7 °C range while others allow brief dips to –2 °C or lower—creating the tight clustering around the –2 °C-or-below, 4 °C, and 8 °C-or-higher outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model consensus expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$32End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming polar air advection and clear-sky radiative cooling are the main drivers splitting trader views on Buenos Aires’ August 24 minimum.**
A cold air mass moving northward from Patagonia is expected to lower temperatures across the Río de la Plata region overnight into the 24th, with models showing surface temperatures potentially falling to near or below 0 °C under light winds and minimal cloud cover. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 9–11 °C, so any significant departure hinges on the strength and timing of this cold surge. Numerical weather prediction runs differ on the exact minimum—some keep readings in the 4–7 °C range while others allow brief dips to –2 °C or lower—creating the tight clustering around the –2 °C-or-below, 4 °C, and 8 °C-or-higher outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model consensus expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming polar air advection and clear-sky radiative cooling are the main drivers splitting trader views on Buenos Aires’ August 24 minimum.** A cold air mass moving northward from Patagonia is expected to lower temperatures across the Río de la Plata region overnight into the 24th, with models showing surface temperatures potentially falling to near or below 0 °C under light winds and minimal cloud cover. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 9–11 °C, so any significant departure hinges on the strength and timing of this cold surge. Numerical weather prediction runs differ on the exact minimum—some keep readings in the 4–7 °C range while others allow brief dips to –2 °C or lower—creating the tight clustering around the –2 °C-or-below, 4 °C, and 8 °C-or-higher outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model consensus expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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