Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS-based models indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 37% for 27°C and 26% for 28°C. Partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms could limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum, while southeasterly winds and moderate humidity in the Po Valley support the 26°C outcome at 27.5%. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect minor uncertainty in cloud cover and convective timing over the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution tight around these values ahead of final observational data from Milan Linate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 25?
27°C 36%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
36%
28°C
26%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 36%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$12 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$187 Vol.
8%
26°C
$155 Vol.
28%
27°C
$54 Vol.
36%
28°C
$37 Vol.
26%
29°C
$17 Vol.
11%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS-based models indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 37% for 27°C and 26% for 28°C. Partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms could limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum, while southeasterly winds and moderate humidity in the Po Valley support the 26°C outcome at 27.5%. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect minor uncertainty in cloud cover and convective timing over the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution tight around these values ahead of final observational data from Milan Linate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$473End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS-based models indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 37% for 27°C and 26% for 28°C. Partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms could limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum, while southeasterly winds and moderate humidity in the Po Valley support the 26°C outcome at 27.5%. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect minor uncertainty in cloud cover and convective timing over the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution tight around these values ahead of final observational data from Milan Linate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$473End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS-based models indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 37% for 27°C and 26% for 28°C. Partly cloudy skies with a 50–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms could limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum, while southeasterly winds and moderate humidity in the Po Valley support the 26°C outcome at 27.5%. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect minor uncertainty in cloud cover and convective timing over the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution tight around these values ahead of final observational data from Milan Linate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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