Recent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 31?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 31?
36°C 45%
35°C 35%
34°C 13%
37°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
13%
35°C
35%
36°C
45%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
35°C 35%
34°C 13%
37°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$636 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,157 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$545 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$454 Vol.
2%
33°C
$557 Vol.
4%
34°C
$892 Vol.
13%
35°C
$916 Vol.
35%
36°C
$2,424 Vol.
45%
37°C
$1,291 Vol.
6%
38°C
$529 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$376 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$9,776End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,776End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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