Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project Chengdu overnight lows of 21–23°C on August 31, consistent with late-August climatology under partly cloudy to clear skies and light winds. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome reflects expectations of stronger radiative cooling amid recent drier conditions and reduced cloud cover after earlier monsoon influences, alongside typical urban heat-island modulation and basin topography that can amplify nocturnal drops. Key variables include dew-point depressions and any last-minute shifts in steering flow; updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 31?
19°C 48%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
8%
18°C
16%
19°C
48%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
24%
25°C
25%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 48%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
8%
18°C
$181 Vol.
16%
19°C
$0 Vol.
48%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$10 Vol.
24%
25°C
$24 Vol.
25%
26°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project Chengdu overnight lows of 21–23°C on August 31, consistent with late-August climatology under partly cloudy to clear skies and light winds. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome reflects expectations of stronger radiative cooling amid recent drier conditions and reduced cloud cover after earlier monsoon influences, alongside typical urban heat-island modulation and basin topography that can amplify nocturnal drops. Key variables include dew-point depressions and any last-minute shifts in steering flow; updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$530End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project Chengdu overnight lows of 21–23°C on August 31, consistent with late-August climatology under partly cloudy to clear skies and light winds. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome reflects expectations of stronger radiative cooling amid recent drier conditions and reduced cloud cover after earlier monsoon influences, alongside typical urban heat-island modulation and basin topography that can amplify nocturnal drops. Key variables include dew-point depressions and any last-minute shifts in steering flow; updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$530End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project Chengdu overnight lows of 21–23°C on August 31, consistent with late-August climatology under partly cloudy to clear skies and light winds. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome reflects expectations of stronger radiative cooling amid recent drier conditions and reduced cloud cover after earlier monsoon influences, alongside typical urban heat-island modulation and basin topography that can amplify nocturnal drops. Key variables include dew-point depressions and any last-minute shifts in steering flow; updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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