Trader consensus on a 33°C peak for Busan on August 30 reflects current official observations from stations like Gimhae Airport showing afternoon readings climbing to that threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical humidity, light southwesterly winds, and partial clearing that permits peak solar insolation near 2-4 PM local time. Model runs align with this observed maximum rather than higher or lower bands, consistent with climatological August highs near 29-31°C but elevated by recent warm advection. The 100% market-implied probability embeds high confidence in the final recorded daily maximum from authoritative sources, though resolution could shift only under rare scenarios such as post-observation data revisions, localized station discrepancies, or unforecasted convective cooling suppressing the true peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 30?
33°C 100.0%
$37,493 Vol.
$37,493 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
33°C
100%
33°C 100.0%
$37,493 Vol.
$37,493 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
33°C
$5,971 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 33°C peak for Busan on August 30 reflects current official observations from stations like Gimhae Airport showing afternoon readings climbing to that threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical humidity, light southwesterly winds, and partial clearing that permits peak solar insolation near 2-4 PM local time. Model runs align with this observed maximum rather than higher or lower bands, consistent with climatological August highs near 29-31°C but elevated by recent warm advection. The 100% market-implied probability embeds high confidence in the final recorded daily maximum from authoritative sources, though resolution could shift only under rare scenarios such as post-observation data revisions, localized station discrepancies, or unforecasted convective cooling suppressing the true peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$37,493End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 33°C peak for Busan on August 30 reflects current official observations from stations like Gimhae Airport showing afternoon readings climbing to that threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical humidity, light southwesterly winds, and partial clearing that permits peak solar insolation near 2-4 PM local time. Model runs align with this observed maximum rather than higher or lower bands, consistent with climatological August highs near 29-31°C but elevated by recent warm advection. The 100% market-implied probability embeds high confidence in the final recorded daily maximum from authoritative sources, though resolution could shift only under rare scenarios such as post-observation data revisions, localized station discrepancies, or unforecasted convective cooling suppressing the true peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,493End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on a 33°C peak for Busan on August 30 reflects current official observations from stations like Gimhae Airport showing afternoon readings climbing to that threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical humidity, light southwesterly winds, and partial clearing that permits peak solar insolation near 2-4 PM local time. Model runs align with this observed maximum rather than higher or lower bands, consistent with climatological August highs near 29-31°C but elevated by recent warm advection. The 100% market-implied probability embeds high confidence in the final recorded daily maximum from authoritative sources, though resolution could shift only under rare scenarios such as post-observation data revisions, localized station discrepancies, or unforecasted convective cooling suppressing the true peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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