Current forecasts from European meteorological models show Paris reaching a daytime maximum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow, which limits solar heating and aligns with the long-term average high for late August. Persistent cloud cover and humidity around 50% have kept temperatures from climbing further, producing the market-implied odds heavily favoring 24°C while assigning lower probability to 25°C. Minor model disagreements on afternoon clearing could allow a brief spike toward 25°C, though recent observations confirm readings stabilizing at or below 24°C through mid-afternoon. Traders are weighting these stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of strong high-pressure development when assessing resolution near the daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 30?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 30?
24°C 63%
25°C 30%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$51,711 Vol.
$51,711 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
69%
25°C
32%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 63%
25°C 30%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$51,711 Vol.
$51,711 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$1,202 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,196 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,111 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$896 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,488 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,557 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$11,913 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$9,065 Vol.
69%
25°C
$7,206 Vol.
32%
26°C
$9,531 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$3,545 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological models show Paris reaching a daytime maximum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow, which limits solar heating and aligns with the long-term average high for late August. Persistent cloud cover and humidity around 50% have kept temperatures from climbing further, producing the market-implied odds heavily favoring 24°C while assigning lower probability to 25°C. Minor model disagreements on afternoon clearing could allow a brief spike toward 25°C, though recent observations confirm readings stabilizing at or below 24°C through mid-afternoon. Traders are weighting these stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of strong high-pressure development when assessing resolution near the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$51,711End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological models show Paris reaching a daytime maximum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow, which limits solar heating and aligns with the long-term average high for late August. Persistent cloud cover and humidity around 50% have kept temperatures from climbing further, producing the market-implied odds heavily favoring 24°C while assigning lower probability to 25°C. Minor model disagreements on afternoon clearing could allow a brief spike toward 25°C, though recent observations confirm readings stabilizing at or below 24°C through mid-afternoon. Traders are weighting these stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of strong high-pressure development when assessing resolution near the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,711End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European meteorological models show Paris reaching a daytime maximum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow, which limits solar heating and aligns with the long-term average high for late August. Persistent cloud cover and humidity around 50% have kept temperatures from climbing further, producing the market-implied odds heavily favoring 24°C while assigning lower probability to 25°C. Minor model disagreements on afternoon clearing could allow a brief spike toward 25°C, though recent observations confirm readings stabilizing at or below 24°C through mid-afternoon. Traders are weighting these stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of strong high-pressure development when assessing resolution near the daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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