Recent official forecasts from sources including Météo-France-aligned models and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, 2026, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light drizzle potential that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal norms near 23.8°C and follow similar subdued readings observed on August 30. Trader consensus reflected in the 53% implied probability for 23°C and 29% for 24°C tracks this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 22°C or 25°C+ account for minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or wind shifts. Stable synoptic patterns through the final 24–48 hours reduce upside risks from anomalous warming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 31?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 31?
23°C 54%
24°C 29%
22°C 17%
25°C 3%
NEW
$11,334 Vol.
NEW
$11,334 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
17%
23°C
54%
24°C
29%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 54%
24°C 29%
22°C 17%
25°C 3%
NEW
$11,334 Vol.
NEW
$11,334 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
$202 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$284 Vol.
1%
21°C
$677 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,462 Vol.
17%
23°C
$2,330 Vol.
54%
24°C
$1,504 Vol.
29%
25°C
$1,442 Vol.
3%
26°C
$986 Vol.
2%
27°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$850 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including Météo-France-aligned models and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, 2026, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light drizzle potential that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal norms near 23.8°C and follow similar subdued readings observed on August 30. Trader consensus reflected in the 53% implied probability for 23°C and 29% for 24°C tracks this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 22°C or 25°C+ account for minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or wind shifts. Stable synoptic patterns through the final 24–48 hours reduce upside risks from anomalous warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$11,334End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including Météo-France-aligned models and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, 2026, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light drizzle potential that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal norms near 23.8°C and follow similar subdued readings observed on August 30. Trader consensus reflected in the 53% implied probability for 23°C and 29% for 24°C tracks this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 22°C or 25°C+ account for minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or wind shifts. Stable synoptic patterns through the final 24–48 hours reduce upside risks from anomalous warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,334End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including Météo-France-aligned models and GFS runs indicate a highest temperature of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, 2026, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light drizzle potential that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal norms near 23.8°C and follow similar subdued readings observed on August 30. Trader consensus reflected in the 53% implied probability for 23°C and 29% for 24°C tracks this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 22°C or 25°C+ account for minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or wind shifts. Stable synoptic patterns through the final 24–48 hours reduce upside risks from anomalous warming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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