Official temperature observations from Shenzhen stations peaked at 31°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating on August 30. Regional forecasts from meteorological services converged on this value, with hourly readings topping out near 30–31°C before evening cooling, aligning closely with historical late-August averages for the area under similar monsoon-influenced patterns. The near-certain market pricing reflects this verified consensus from ground data. A late revision in official station maxima or discrepancies across monitoring sites could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary records are compiled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$45,523 Vol.
$45,523 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$45,523 Vol.
$45,523 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from Shenzhen stations peaked at 31°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating on August 30. Regional forecasts from meteorological services converged on this value, with hourly readings topping out near 30–31°C before evening cooling, aligning closely with historical late-August averages for the area under similar monsoon-influenced patterns. The near-certain market pricing reflects this verified consensus from ground data. A late revision in official station maxima or discrepancies across monitoring sites could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary records are compiled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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