**Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Chengdu on August 30 because multiple numerical weather models and official forecasts converge on that value under stable atmospheric conditions.** Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low precipitation probability have supported gradual daytime warming consistent with late-summer norms in the Sichuan Basin, where regional station data and model runs from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration show afternoon peaks stabilizing near this threshold. The market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges remain limited but include localized increases in cloud cover, shifts in steering flow, or minor observational differences at the primary reporting station that could push the recorded high slightly below or above the exact mark before the day closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$53,187 Vol.
$53,187 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$53,187 Vol.
$53,187 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$2,601 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,279 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,432 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,293 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$8,064 Vol.
100%
34°C
$5,132 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$8,111 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$7,705 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$5,042 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$4,230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Chengdu on August 30 because multiple numerical weather models and official forecasts converge on that value under stable atmospheric conditions.** Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low precipitation probability have supported gradual daytime warming consistent with late-summer norms in the Sichuan Basin, where regional station data and model runs from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration show afternoon peaks stabilizing near this threshold. The market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges remain limited but include localized increases in cloud cover, shifts in steering flow, or minor observational differences at the primary reporting station that could push the recorded high slightly below or above the exact mark before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$53,187End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Chengdu on August 30 because multiple numerical weather models and official forecasts converge on that value under stable atmospheric conditions.** Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low precipitation probability have supported gradual daytime warming consistent with late-summer norms in the Sichuan Basin, where regional station data and model runs from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration show afternoon peaks stabilizing near this threshold. The market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges remain limited but include localized increases in cloud cover, shifts in steering flow, or minor observational differences at the primary reporting station that could push the recorded high slightly below or above the exact mark before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,187End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Chengdu on August 30 because multiple numerical weather models and official forecasts converge on that value under stable atmospheric conditions.** Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low precipitation probability have supported gradual daytime warming consistent with late-summer norms in the Sichuan Basin, where regional station data and model runs from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration show afternoon peaks stabilizing near this threshold. The market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges remain limited but include localized increases in cloud cover, shifts in steering flow, or minor observational differences at the primary reporting station that could push the recorded high slightly below or above the exact mark before the day closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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