Current forecast models for Chengdu indicate a high near 34°C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show limited variability across ensembles, though slight differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment, with 35°C and 34°C as the leading outcomes at 37% and 25% implied probability, reflects this consensus while incorporating the inherent range in short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, but persistent high-pressure influence supports elevated readings without extreme heat. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 1?
35°C 37%
34°C 25%
36°C 19%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
25%
35°C
37%
36°C
19%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 37%
34°C 25%
36°C 19%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
28°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$337 Vol.
2%
31°C
$145 Vol.
2%
32°C
$53 Vol.
5%
33°C
$77 Vol.
11%
34°C
$111 Vol.
25%
35°C
$329 Vol.
37%
36°C
$403 Vol.
19%
37°C
$489 Vol.
6%
38°C or higher
$98 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Chengdu indicate a high near 34°C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show limited variability across ensembles, though slight differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment, with 35°C and 34°C as the leading outcomes at 37% and 25% implied probability, reflects this consensus while incorporating the inherent range in short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, but persistent high-pressure influence supports elevated readings without extreme heat. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,183End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Chengdu indicate a high near 34°C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show limited variability across ensembles, though slight differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment, with 35°C and 34°C as the leading outcomes at 37% and 25% implied probability, reflects this consensus while incorporating the inherent range in short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, but persistent high-pressure influence supports elevated readings without extreme heat. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,183End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Chengdu indicate a high near 34°C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show limited variability across ensembles, though slight differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment, with 35°C and 34°C as the leading outcomes at 37% and 25% implied probability, reflects this consensus while incorporating the inherent range in short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, but persistent high-pressure influence supports elevated readings without extreme heat. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions