**Strong model consensus and stable high-pressure conditions underpin the near-certain market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Milan on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and European numerical models, consistently project a maximum of 31°C under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with afternoon peaks around 17:00 local time. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where radiative heating without frontal systems or advection produces modest daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Current observations from nearby stations show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range without signs of deviation. Only an unexpected late-day surge or station-specific measurement variance could shift the outcome, though model agreement and current trends make such changes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 30?
31°C 99.8%
33°C or higher <1%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$42,415 Vol.
$42,415 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
33°C or higher <1%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$42,415 Vol.
$42,415 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$2,856 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,307 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,926 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$616 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,236 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$8,762 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,743 Vol.
100%
32°C
$4,031 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$2,255 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and stable high-pressure conditions underpin the near-certain market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Milan on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and European numerical models, consistently project a maximum of 31°C under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with afternoon peaks around 17:00 local time. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where radiative heating without frontal systems or advection produces modest daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Current observations from nearby stations show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range without signs of deviation. Only an unexpected late-day surge or station-specific measurement variance could shift the outcome, though model agreement and current trends make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$42,415End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and stable high-pressure conditions underpin the near-certain market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Milan on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and European numerical models, consistently project a maximum of 31°C under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with afternoon peaks around 17:00 local time. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where radiative heating without frontal systems or advection produces modest daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Current observations from nearby stations show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range without signs of deviation. Only an unexpected late-day surge or station-specific measurement variance could shift the outcome, though model agreement and current trends make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,415End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus and stable high-pressure conditions underpin the near-certain market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Milan on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and European numerical models, consistently project a maximum of 31°C under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with afternoon peaks around 17:00 local time. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where radiative heating without frontal systems or advection produces modest daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Current observations from nearby stations show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range without signs of deviation. Only an unexpected late-day surge or station-specific measurement variance could shift the outcome, though model agreement and current trends make such changes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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