Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 29–30°C in Milan on September 1 under building high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible. This narrow range explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as ensemble runs show minor differences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C either way. Warmer-than-climatological conditions persist from the current late-August ridge, while any increase in low-level moisture or earlier convective development would favor the lower end. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will further refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 1?
29°C 39%
30°C 38%
31°C 13%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
39%
30°C
38%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 39%
30°C 38%
31°C 13%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$55 Vol.
3%
27°C
$4 Vol.
5%
28°C
$156 Vol.
10%
29°C
$50 Vol.
39%
30°C
$80 Vol.
38%
31°C
$38 Vol.
13%
32°C
$27 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$94 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 29–30°C in Milan on September 1 under building high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible. This narrow range explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as ensemble runs show minor differences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C either way. Warmer-than-climatological conditions persist from the current late-August ridge, while any increase in low-level moisture or earlier convective development would favor the lower end. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will further refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$683End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 29–30°C in Milan on September 1 under building high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible. This narrow range explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as ensemble runs show minor differences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C either way. Warmer-than-climatological conditions persist from the current late-August ridge, while any increase in low-level moisture or earlier convective development would favor the lower end. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will further refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$683End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 29–30°C in Milan on September 1 under building high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible. This narrow range explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as ensemble runs show minor differences in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C either way. Warmer-than-climatological conditions persist from the current late-August ridge, while any increase in low-level moisture or earlier convective development would favor the lower end. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will further refine the peak temperature ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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