**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 likely between 30–32°C, with market odds clustered around these values amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms.** Persistent monsoon moisture and northeasterly flow are expected to limit solar heating, while scattered heavy rain—already observed in late August—could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional agencies highlights typical August climatology near 32°C, but current model consensus points to slightly cooler outcomes due to elevated dew points near 26–27°C and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C against potential shifts in convective timing, with upcoming model runs and morning observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
31°C 39%
30°C 31%
29°C 17%
32°C 11%
NEW
$10,878 Vol.
NEW
$10,878 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
31%
31°C
39%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 39%
30°C 31%
29°C 17%
32°C 11%
NEW
$10,878 Vol.
NEW
$10,878 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$568 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,185 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,536 Vol.
5%
29°C
$1,494 Vol.
17%
30°C
$978 Vol.
31%
31°C
$1,610 Vol.
39%
32°C
$436 Vol.
11%
33°C
$782 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$303 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 likely between 30–32°C, with market odds clustered around these values amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms.** Persistent monsoon moisture and northeasterly flow are expected to limit solar heating, while scattered heavy rain—already observed in late August—could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional agencies highlights typical August climatology near 32°C, but current model consensus points to slightly cooler outcomes due to elevated dew points near 26–27°C and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C against potential shifts in convective timing, with upcoming model runs and morning observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,878End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 likely between 30–32°C, with market odds clustered around these values amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms.** Persistent monsoon moisture and northeasterly flow are expected to limit solar heating, while scattered heavy rain—already observed in late August—could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional agencies highlights typical August climatology near 32°C, but current model consensus points to slightly cooler outcomes due to elevated dew points near 26–27°C and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C against potential shifts in convective timing, with upcoming model runs and morning observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,878End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 likely between 30–32°C, with market odds clustered around these values amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms.** Persistent monsoon moisture and northeasterly flow are expected to limit solar heating, while scattered heavy rain—already observed in late August—could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and intensity. Official guidance from regional agencies highlights typical August climatology near 32°C, but current model consensus points to slightly cooler outcomes due to elevated dew points near 26–27°C and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 30°C and 32°C against potential shifts in convective timing, with upcoming model runs and morning observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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