**Current forecasts position 31–32°C as the most probable range for Busan’s highest temperature on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (32°C at 51%, 31°C at 24.5%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, Met Office, and others, indicate daytime highs near 30–31.7°C (roughly 86–89°F) under partly cloudy to stormy conditions with 40–70% rain chances. Southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 70–80%) are expected to support these values while moderating extreme peaks. Recent developments reinforce this clustering: persistent late-summer warmth combined with a stationary front has maintained perceived temperatures near 33°C amid showers, with official advisories noting daytime maxima of 30–32°C through the period. Rain and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty that could cap the high below 33°C or allow brief spikes toward it, consistent with the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C (15.5%) and higher outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for Busan (typically 29–32°C) further anchor trader sentiment around these levels, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 31?
32°C 51%
31°C 22%
33°C 16%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
22%
32°C
51%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 51%
31°C 22%
33°C 16%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
$197 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$562 Vol.
1%
29°C
$918 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,407 Vol.
7%
31°C
$1,071 Vol.
22%
32°C
$2,200 Vol.
51%
33°C
$699 Vol.
16%
34°C
$758 Vol.
3%
35°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$364 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 31–32°C as the most probable range for Busan’s highest temperature on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (32°C at 51%, 31°C at 24.5%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, Met Office, and others, indicate daytime highs near 30–31.7°C (roughly 86–89°F) under partly cloudy to stormy conditions with 40–70% rain chances. Southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 70–80%) are expected to support these values while moderating extreme peaks.
Recent developments reinforce this clustering: persistent late-summer warmth combined with a stationary front has maintained perceived temperatures near 33°C amid showers, with official advisories noting daytime maxima of 30–32°C through the period. Rain and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty that could cap the high below 33°C or allow brief spikes toward it, consistent with the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C (15.5%) and higher outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for Busan (typically 29–32°C) further anchor trader sentiment around these levels, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,298End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 31–32°C as the most probable range for Busan’s highest temperature on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (32°C at 51%, 31°C at 24.5%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, Met Office, and others, indicate daytime highs near 30–31.7°C (roughly 86–89°F) under partly cloudy to stormy conditions with 40–70% rain chances. Southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 70–80%) are expected to support these values while moderating extreme peaks.
Recent developments reinforce this clustering: persistent late-summer warmth combined with a stationary front has maintained perceived temperatures near 33°C amid showers, with official advisories noting daytime maxima of 30–32°C through the period. Rain and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty that could cap the high below 33°C or allow brief spikes toward it, consistent with the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C (15.5%) and higher outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for Busan (typically 29–32°C) further anchor trader sentiment around these levels, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,298End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts position 31–32°C as the most probable range for Busan’s highest temperature on August 31, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (32°C at 51%, 31°C at 24.5%).** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, Met Office, and others, indicate daytime highs near 30–31.7°C (roughly 86–89°F) under partly cloudy to stormy conditions with 40–70% rain chances. Southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 70–80%) are expected to support these values while moderating extreme peaks. Recent developments reinforce this clustering: persistent late-summer warmth combined with a stationary front has maintained perceived temperatures near 33°C amid showers, with official advisories noting daytime maxima of 30–32°C through the period. Rain and cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty that could cap the high below 33°C or allow brief spikes toward it, consistent with the smaller probabilities assigned to 33°C (15.5%) and higher outcomes. Historical late-August baselines for Busan (typically 29–32°C) further anchor trader sentiment around these levels, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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