Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 9 center on a stable high-pressure system delivering mostly sunny skies, light winds, and maximum temperatures near 32°C, which aligns with the market's strong 57% implied probability for that outcome. Regional models show minimal day-to-day variability in late-summer conditions, with daily highs typically ranging 29–34°C and no signals of anomalous heat advection or cloud cover that would push readings higher or lower. This consensus draws from historical August baselines around 30–32°C and recent observational trends indicating consistent radiative heating without intensification. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance ahead of final verification, with 31°C as the main alternative at 33% probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 9?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 9?
32°C 57%
31°C 33%
33°C 10%
30°C 2%
NEW
$14,066 Vol.
NEW
$14,066 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
33%
32°C
57%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 33%
33°C 10%
30°C 2%
NEW
$14,066 Vol.
NEW
$14,066 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
$1,078 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$500 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$896 Vol.
2%
31°C
$2,365 Vol.
33%
32°C
$4,159 Vol.
57%
33°C
$1,950 Vol.
10%
34°C
$1,093 Vol.
1%
35°C
$745 Vol.
1%
36°C
$580 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$352 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$348 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 9 center on a stable high-pressure system delivering mostly sunny skies, light winds, and maximum temperatures near 32°C, which aligns with the market's strong 57% implied probability for that outcome. Regional models show minimal day-to-day variability in late-summer conditions, with daily highs typically ranging 29–34°C and no signals of anomalous heat advection or cloud cover that would push readings higher or lower. This consensus draws from historical August baselines around 30–32°C and recent observational trends indicating consistent radiative heating without intensification. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance ahead of final verification, with 31°C as the main alternative at 33% probability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$14,066End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 9 center on a stable high-pressure system delivering mostly sunny skies, light winds, and maximum temperatures near 32°C, which aligns with the market's strong 57% implied probability for that outcome. Regional models show minimal day-to-day variability in late-summer conditions, with daily highs typically ranging 29–34°C and no signals of anomalous heat advection or cloud cover that would push readings higher or lower. This consensus draws from historical August baselines around 30–32°C and recent observational trends indicating consistent radiative heating without intensification. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance ahead of final verification, with 31°C as the main alternative at 33% probability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,066End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 9 center on a stable high-pressure system delivering mostly sunny skies, light winds, and maximum temperatures near 32°C, which aligns with the market's strong 57% implied probability for that outcome. Regional models show minimal day-to-day variability in late-summer conditions, with daily highs typically ranging 29–34°C and no signals of anomalous heat advection or cloud cover that would push readings higher or lower. This consensus draws from historical August baselines around 30–32°C and recent observational trends indicating consistent radiative heating without intensification. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance ahead of final verification, with 31°C as the main alternative at 33% probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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