The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, centered in Ituri Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited cross-border cases into Uganda, remains a regional epidemic rather than a global pandemic. As of late August 2026, official tallies show roughly 5,500 confirmed cases and 2,600 deaths in the DRC (case fatality rate near 48%), plus 20 cases and 2 deaths in Uganda where the outbreak has been declared over; no confirmed transmissions have occurred outside Africa. Ebola’s primary transmission via direct contact with infected bodily fluids, combined with established containment measures such as isolation, contact tracing, and international support from WHO, CDC, and MSF, has historically prevented pandemic-scale spread. Trader consensus on “No” at 96.3% reflects this contained trajectory and the low likelihood of escalation to worldwide levels by year-end, though sustained community transmission or unexpected urban expansion in the DRC could still alter dynamics before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% chance
$700,982 Vol.
$700,982 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
4% chance
$700,982 Vol.
$700,982 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, centered in Ituri Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited cross-border cases into Uganda, remains a regional epidemic rather than a global pandemic. As of late August 2026, official tallies show roughly 5,500 confirmed cases and 2,600 deaths in the DRC (case fatality rate near 48%), plus 20 cases and 2 deaths in Uganda where the outbreak has been declared over; no confirmed transmissions have occurred outside Africa. Ebola’s primary transmission via direct contact with infected bodily fluids, combined with established containment measures such as isolation, contact tracing, and international support from WHO, CDC, and MSF, has historically prevented pandemic-scale spread. Trader consensus on “No” at 96.3% reflects this contained trajectory and the low likelihood of escalation to worldwide levels by year-end, though sustained community transmission or unexpected urban expansion in the DRC could still alter dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volume
$700,982End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, centered in Ituri Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited cross-border cases into Uganda, remains a regional epidemic rather than a global pandemic. As of late August 2026, official tallies show roughly 5,500 confirmed cases and 2,600 deaths in the DRC (case fatality rate near 48%), plus 20 cases and 2 deaths in Uganda where the outbreak has been declared over; no confirmed transmissions have occurred outside Africa. Ebola’s primary transmission via direct contact with infected bodily fluids, combined with established containment measures such as isolation, contact tracing, and international support from WHO, CDC, and MSF, has historically prevented pandemic-scale spread. Trader consensus on “No” at 96.3% reflects this contained trajectory and the low likelihood of escalation to worldwide levels by year-end, though sustained community transmission or unexpected urban expansion in the DRC could still alter dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$700,982End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, centered in Ituri Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo with limited cross-border cases into Uganda, remains a regional epidemic rather than a global pandemic. As of late August 2026, official tallies show roughly 5,500 confirmed cases and 2,600 deaths in the DRC (case fatality rate near 48%), plus 20 cases and 2 deaths in Uganda where the outbreak has been declared over; no confirmed transmissions have occurred outside Africa. Ebola’s primary transmission via direct contact with infected bodily fluids, combined with established containment measures such as isolation, contact tracing, and international support from WHO, CDC, and MSF, has historically prevented pandemic-scale spread. Trader consensus on “No” at 96.3% reflects this contained trajectory and the low likelihood of escalation to worldwide levels by year-end, though sustained community transmission or unexpected urban expansion in the DRC could still alter dynamics before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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