Recent arrival of a polar air mass via cold front has cooled Southeast Brazil, with Sao Paulo forecasts from multiple models showing overnight lows of 14–16°C on August 25 amid moderate southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover. This positions trader consensus around mid-teens while the elevated probability for 9°C or below reflects uncertainty in radiative cooling under clearer skies or stronger cold advection overnight. Key differentiators include precise timing of the front’s influence, urban heat island effects, and model spread on minimum temperatures, with official guidance from Brazilian meteorological services expected to refine the outlook before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 25. August?
9°C oder darunter 69%
10°C 49%
14°C 31%
13°C 30%
9°C oder darunter
69%
10°C
49%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
30%
14°C
31%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
16%
18°C
28%
19°C oder höher
2%
9°C oder darunter 69%
10°C 49%
14°C 31%
13°C 30%
9°C oder darunter
69%
10°C
49%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
30%
14°C
31%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
16%
18°C
28%
19°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent arrival of a polar air mass via cold front has cooled Southeast Brazil, with Sao Paulo forecasts from multiple models showing overnight lows of 14–16°C on August 25 amid moderate southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover. This positions trader consensus around mid-teens while the elevated probability for 9°C or below reflects uncertainty in radiative cooling under clearer skies or stronger cold advection overnight. Key differentiators include precise timing of the front’s influence, urban heat island effects, and model spread on minimum temperatures, with official guidance from Brazilian meteorological services expected to refine the outlook before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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