Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a mild late-summer air mass over the Northeast, supporting overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on August 25. Moderate dew points near 60°F combined with light southwesterly winds will limit radiative cooling under partly clear skies, while the urban heat island effect further moderates temperatures relative to surrounding suburbs. Slight differences among leading outcomes (64–65°F versus 66–67°F) hinge on forecast timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°F. Historical late-August averages near 67°F provide context for the current tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around normal conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 25. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 25. August?
64-65°F 32%
66-67°F 27%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 20%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
53°F oder niedriger
3%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
5%
72°F oder höher
12%
64-65°F 32%
66-67°F 27%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 20%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
53°F oder niedriger
$5 Vol.
3%
54-55°F
$5 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$10 Vol.
2%
58-59°F
$10 Vol.
4%
60-61°F
$82 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$33 Vol.
20%
64-65°F
$10 Vol.
32%
66-67°F
$44 Vol.
27%
68-69°F
$161 Vol.
21%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
5%
72°F oder höher
$10 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a mild late-summer air mass over the Northeast, supporting overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on August 25. Moderate dew points near 60°F combined with light southwesterly winds will limit radiative cooling under partly clear skies, while the urban heat island effect further moderates temperatures relative to surrounding suburbs. Slight differences among leading outcomes (64–65°F versus 66–67°F) hinge on forecast timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°F. Historical late-August averages near 67°F provide context for the current tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around normal conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$370Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a mild late-summer air mass over the Northeast, supporting overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on August 25. Moderate dew points near 60°F combined with light southwesterly winds will limit radiative cooling under partly clear skies, while the urban heat island effect further moderates temperatures relative to surrounding suburbs. Slight differences among leading outcomes (64–65°F versus 66–67°F) hinge on forecast timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°F. Historical late-August averages near 67°F provide context for the current tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around normal conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$370Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a mild late-summer air mass over the Northeast, supporting overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on August 25. Moderate dew points near 60°F combined with light southwesterly winds will limit radiative cooling under partly clear skies, while the urban heat island effect further moderates temperatures relative to surrounding suburbs. Slight differences among leading outcomes (64–65°F versus 66–67°F) hinge on forecast timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°F. Historical late-August averages near 67°F provide context for the current tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around normal conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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