Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance points to a sunny, hot day in Houston with light southwesterly winds and highs near 99–100°F, supporting the market's strong preference for the 98–99°F bin. Persistent high pressure and low humidity aloft have sustained a late-summer heat wave, while the timing of any sea-breeze intrusion remains the key variable that could shave a degree or two off the peak. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 93–95°F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly. Updated model runs tomorrow morning and afternoon observations will refine whether the high settles in the upper 90s or briefly touches 100°F before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 25. August?
98-99°F 52%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 8%
102-103°F 6%
89°F oder niedriger
3%
32-33°C
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
35%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108°F oder höher
2%
98-99°F 52%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 8%
102-103°F 6%
89°F oder niedriger
3%
32-33°C
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
35%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108°F oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance points to a sunny, hot day in Houston with light southwesterly winds and highs near 99–100°F, supporting the market's strong preference for the 98–99°F bin. Persistent high pressure and low humidity aloft have sustained a late-summer heat wave, while the timing of any sea-breeze intrusion remains the key variable that could shave a degree or two off the peak. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 93–95°F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly. Updated model runs tomorrow morning and afternoon observations will refine whether the high settles in the upper 90s or briefly touches 100°F before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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