Late-summer atmospheric patterns over the Korean Peninsula, shaped by the persistent North Pacific High and typical August climatology with historical Seoul-Incheon maxima near 29–31°C, underpin current trader sentiment favoring a 30–31°C high on August 24. Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate cloudy skies with a maximum near 33°C and only 20% precipitation probability, yet model consensus on limited daytime heating from cloud cover and minor steering influences keeps the 31°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability and 30°C at 36.5%. Recent observational trends show no major heatwave intensification, while traders weigh potential for slight cooling from increased moisture against the baseline warm setup ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 24. August?
31°C 42%
30°C 38%
32°C 11%
29°C 9%
$10,278 Vol.
$10,278 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
38%
31°C
42%
32°C
11%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 42%
30°C 38%
32°C 11%
29°C 9%
$10,278 Vol.
$10,278 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
38%
31°C
42%
32°C
11%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Late-summer atmospheric patterns over the Korean Peninsula, shaped by the persistent North Pacific High and typical August climatology with historical Seoul-Incheon maxima near 29–31°C, underpin current trader sentiment favoring a 30–31°C high on August 24. Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate cloudy skies with a maximum near 33°C and only 20% precipitation probability, yet model consensus on limited daytime heating from cloud cover and minor steering influences keeps the 31°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability and 30°C at 36.5%. Recent observational trends show no major heatwave intensification, while traders weigh potential for slight cooling from increased moisture against the baseline warm setup ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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