Heavy rainfall and frequent thunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on August 25, linked to monsoon influences and nearby tropical disturbances, are suppressing diurnal heating and keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from downpours limit solar radiation and prevent stronger afternoon warming typical of the subtropical summer regime. Recent days have shown similar patterns with highs around 30–33°C amid showers, aligning with model consensus from official sources. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 30–34°C reflects genuine uncertainty in peak timing, intensity, and localized variations within Shenzhen, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted. Updated short-range forecasts and station observations will provide key signals ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 25. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 25. August?
31°C 30%
32°C 20%
30°C 14%
33°C 12%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
30%
32°C
20%
33°C
12%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
6%
31°C 30%
32°C 20%
30°C 14%
33°C 12%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C
$10 Vol.
20%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
10%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and frequent thunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on August 25, linked to monsoon influences and nearby tropical disturbances, are suppressing diurnal heating and keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from downpours limit solar radiation and prevent stronger afternoon warming typical of the subtropical summer regime. Recent days have shown similar patterns with highs around 30–33°C amid showers, aligning with model consensus from official sources. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 30–34°C reflects genuine uncertainty in peak timing, intensity, and localized variations within Shenzhen, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted. Updated short-range forecasts and station observations will provide key signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$20Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and frequent thunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on August 25, linked to monsoon influences and nearby tropical disturbances, are suppressing diurnal heating and keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from downpours limit solar radiation and prevent stronger afternoon warming typical of the subtropical summer regime. Recent days have shown similar patterns with highs around 30–33°C amid showers, aligning with model consensus from official sources. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 30–34°C reflects genuine uncertainty in peak timing, intensity, and localized variations within Shenzhen, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted. Updated short-range forecasts and station observations will provide key signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heavy rainfall and frequent thunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on August 25, linked to monsoon influences and nearby tropical disturbances, are suppressing diurnal heating and keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from downpours limit solar radiation and prevent stronger afternoon warming typical of the subtropical summer regime. Recent days have shown similar patterns with highs around 30–33°C amid showers, aligning with model consensus from official sources. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 30–34°C reflects genuine uncertainty in peak timing, intensity, and localized variations within Shenzhen, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted. Updated short-range forecasts and station observations will provide key signals ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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