Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for Shanghai on August 23, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered light rain are expected to cap solar heating and keep the high within the typical late-August climatological range of 30–31°C amid dew points near 25–27°C. Model consensus and official guidance reinforce trader confidence in this narrow band. A realistic challenge could arise if convective activity remains minimal or steering patterns allow clearer skies, potentially pushing readings to 32°C, though current data show low odds of such a shift before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. August?
31°C 98%
32°C 4%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$52,646 Vol.
$52,646 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
98%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 98%
32°C 4%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$52,646 Vol.
$52,646 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,613 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,732 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,403 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$14,106 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,984 Vol.
98%
32°C
$9,587 Vol.
4%
33°C
$6,739 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,427 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,479 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for Shanghai on August 23, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered light rain are expected to cap solar heating and keep the high within the typical late-August climatological range of 30–31°C amid dew points near 25–27°C. Model consensus and official guidance reinforce trader confidence in this narrow band. A realistic challenge could arise if convective activity remains minimal or steering patterns allow clearer skies, potentially pushing readings to 32°C, though current data show low odds of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$52,646Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for Shanghai on August 23, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered light rain are expected to cap solar heating and keep the high within the typical late-August climatological range of 30–31°C amid dew points near 25–27°C. Model consensus and official guidance reinforce trader confidence in this narrow band. A realistic challenge could arise if convective activity remains minimal or steering patterns allow clearer skies, potentially pushing readings to 32°C, though current data show low odds of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$52,646Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for Shanghai on August 23, 2026, supporting the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered light rain are expected to cap solar heating and keep the high within the typical late-August climatological range of 30–31°C amid dew points near 25–27°C. Model consensus and official guidance reinforce trader confidence in this narrow band. A realistic challenge could arise if convective activity remains minimal or steering patterns allow clearer skies, potentially pushing readings to 32°C, though current data show low odds of such a shift before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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