Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, point to a moderating southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that should cap Madrid’s peak temperature near 27–28 °C on 25 August, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to yield partly to mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting diurnal heating relative to the hotter, clearer conditions of the preceding weekend. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with little support for readings reaching 30 °C or falling to 26 °C or below, though final verification will hinge on the precise timing of any convective development and the official AEMET or airport observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 25. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 25. August?
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 17%
26°C 7%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 17%
26°C 7%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$32 Vol.
17%
28°C
$54 Vol.
44%
29°C
$77 Vol.
30%
30°C
$10 Vol.
6%
31°C
$15 Vol.
3%
32°C
$4 Vol.
3%
33°C
$5 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, point to a moderating southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that should cap Madrid’s peak temperature near 27–28 °C on 25 August, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to yield partly to mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting diurnal heating relative to the hotter, clearer conditions of the preceding weekend. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with little support for readings reaching 30 °C or falling to 26 °C or below, though final verification will hinge on the precise timing of any convective development and the official AEMET or airport observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$250Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, point to a moderating southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that should cap Madrid’s peak temperature near 27–28 °C on 25 August, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to yield partly to mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting diurnal heating relative to the hotter, clearer conditions of the preceding weekend. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with little support for readings reaching 30 °C or falling to 26 °C or below, though final verification will hinge on the precise timing of any convective development and the official AEMET or airport observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$250Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, point to a moderating southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that should cap Madrid’s peak temperature near 27–28 °C on 25 August, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to yield partly to mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, limiting diurnal heating relative to the hotter, clearer conditions of the preceding weekend. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with little support for readings reaching 30 °C or falling to 26 °C or below, though final verification will hinge on the precise timing of any convective development and the official AEMET or airport observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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