The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for 32°C as Taipei's daily high on August 23 stems from real-time station observations showing a peak that reached but did not exceed this threshold under prevailing summer conditions. A dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge has maintained steady temperatures with limited daytime heating, consistent with late-August climatology where mean maxima typically range 31–34°C. Official monitoring by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration confirms stable dew points and minimal convective activity that could push readings higher. Any shift would require unforecasted frontal passage or measurement revision, scenarios viewed as highly improbable given current model consensus and hourly data trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 23. August?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$65,957 Vol.
$65,957 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$65,957 Vol.
$65,957 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
$6,336 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,332 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,605 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,654 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,345 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,166 Vol.
100%
33°C
$6,506 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,534 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,746 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,585 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,157 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for 32°C as Taipei's daily high on August 23 stems from real-time station observations showing a peak that reached but did not exceed this threshold under prevailing summer conditions. A dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge has maintained steady temperatures with limited daytime heating, consistent with late-August climatology where mean maxima typically range 31–34°C. Official monitoring by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration confirms stable dew points and minimal convective activity that could push readings higher. Any shift would require unforecasted frontal passage or measurement revision, scenarios viewed as highly improbable given current model consensus and hourly data trends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$65,957Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for 32°C as Taipei's daily high on August 23 stems from real-time station observations showing a peak that reached but did not exceed this threshold under prevailing summer conditions. A dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge has maintained steady temperatures with limited daytime heating, consistent with late-August climatology where mean maxima typically range 31–34°C. Official monitoring by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration confirms stable dew points and minimal convective activity that could push readings higher. Any shift would require unforecasted frontal passage or measurement revision, scenarios viewed as highly improbable given current model consensus and hourly data trends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$65,957Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for 32°C as Taipei's daily high on August 23 stems from real-time station observations showing a peak that reached but did not exceed this threshold under prevailing summer conditions. A dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge has maintained steady temperatures with limited daytime heating, consistent with late-August climatology where mean maxima typically range 31–34°C. Official monitoring by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration confirms stable dew points and minimal convective activity that could push readings higher. Any shift would require unforecasted frontal passage or measurement revision, scenarios viewed as highly improbable given current model consensus and hourly data trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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