**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and regional monsoon influences are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Taipei, positioning the daily minimum temperature for August 23 around 25–26°C.** Official Central Weather Administration forecasts and international model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) indicate nighttime lows holding between 25–26°C amid widespread cloudiness, scattered showers, and easterly to southeasterly flow. These conditions suppress the typical drop in temperature that would occur under clear skies, aligning closely with climatological normals for late August (historical lows near 26°C). Recent model consensus shows little deviation from this range, with no strong cold advection or unusual subsidence expected. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 26°C (66.5%) and 25°C (31.5%) because the combination of persistent moisture and cloud decks makes a drop to 24°C or lower unlikely without a significant shift in the steering pattern or clearing skies, while higher minima appear improbable given the steady rain-cooled air mass. Updated guidance through the evening will be the key near-term catalyst for any further refinement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Taipeh am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Taipeh am 23. August?
26°C 91%
25°C 39%
24°C 3%
22°C <1%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
28%
26°C
77%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 91%
25°C 39%
24°C 3%
22°C <1%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
$688 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$104 Vol.
1%
23°C
$89 Vol.
1%
24°C
$91 Vol.
9%
25°C
$12 Vol.
28%
26°C
$140 Vol.
77%
27°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,302 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$508 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and regional monsoon influences are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Taipei, positioning the daily minimum temperature for August 23 around 25–26°C.**
Official Central Weather Administration forecasts and international model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) indicate nighttime lows holding between 25–26°C amid widespread cloudiness, scattered showers, and easterly to southeasterly flow. These conditions suppress the typical drop in temperature that would occur under clear skies, aligning closely with climatological normals for late August (historical lows near 26°C).
Recent model consensus shows little deviation from this range, with no strong cold advection or unusual subsidence expected. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 26°C (66.5%) and 25°C (31.5%) because the combination of persistent moisture and cloud decks makes a drop to 24°C or lower unlikely without a significant shift in the steering pattern or clearing skies, while higher minima appear improbable given the steady rain-cooled air mass. Updated guidance through the evening will be the key near-term catalyst for any further refinement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,827Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and regional monsoon influences are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Taipei, positioning the daily minimum temperature for August 23 around 25–26°C.**
Official Central Weather Administration forecasts and international model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) indicate nighttime lows holding between 25–26°C amid widespread cloudiness, scattered showers, and easterly to southeasterly flow. These conditions suppress the typical drop in temperature that would occur under clear skies, aligning closely with climatological normals for late August (historical lows near 26°C).
Recent model consensus shows little deviation from this range, with no strong cold advection or unusual subsidence expected. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 26°C (66.5%) and 25°C (31.5%) because the combination of persistent moisture and cloud decks makes a drop to 24°C or lower unlikely without a significant shift in the steering pattern or clearing skies, while higher minima appear improbable given the steady rain-cooled air mass. Updated guidance through the evening will be the key near-term catalyst for any further refinement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,827Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and regional monsoon influences are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Taipei, positioning the daily minimum temperature for August 23 around 25–26°C.** Official Central Weather Administration forecasts and international model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) indicate nighttime lows holding between 25–26°C amid widespread cloudiness, scattered showers, and easterly to southeasterly flow. These conditions suppress the typical drop in temperature that would occur under clear skies, aligning closely with climatological normals for late August (historical lows near 26°C). Recent model consensus shows little deviation from this range, with no strong cold advection or unusual subsidence expected. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 26°C (66.5%) and 25°C (31.5%) because the combination of persistent moisture and cloud decks makes a drop to 24°C or lower unlikely without a significant shift in the steering pattern or clearing skies, while higher minima appear improbable given the steady rain-cooled air mass. Updated guidance through the evening will be the key near-term catalyst for any further refinement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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