Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers forecast for Taipei on August 24 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 23–30°C for the daily minimum. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and ensemble models indicate a humid easterly flow with high dew points near 25–26°C, keeping overnight lows elevated near 26°C while suppressing clear-sky temperature drops. Model spread in precipitation timing and intensity creates the tight probabilities across mid-20s outcomes, with lower values (≤22°C) requiring stronger boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals unlikely under current synoptic conditions. Updated high-resolution runs from the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Taipeh am 24. August?
30°C 69%
26°C 34%
27°C 34%
23°C 34%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
33%
23°C
34%
24°C
33%
25°C
8%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
33%
29°C
6%
30°C
69%
31°C or higher
1%
30°C 69%
26°C 34%
27°C 34%
23°C 34%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
33%
23°C
34%
24°C
33%
25°C
8%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
33%
29°C
6%
30°C
69%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers forecast for Taipei on August 24 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 23–30°C for the daily minimum. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and ensemble models indicate a humid easterly flow with high dew points near 25–26°C, keeping overnight lows elevated near 26°C while suppressing clear-sky temperature drops. Model spread in precipitation timing and intensity creates the tight probabilities across mid-20s outcomes, with lower values (≤22°C) requiring stronger boundary-layer mixing or brief clear intervals unlikely under current synoptic conditions. Updated high-resolution runs from the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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