Official AEMET forecasts and supporting numerical models project a daily maximum near 33°C for Madrid on August 23 under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where highs average around 32°C and decline through the month. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (67.5% implied probability) over 33°C (24.5%) likely reflects model guidance showing potential for brief afternoon peaks above the baseline due to urban heat retention, strong insolation, and subtle warm-air advection, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ align with limited moisture and no synoptic forcing for stronger warming. Recent stable high-pressure conditions have kept forecasts consistent, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of peak heating observed at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 23. August?
34°C 74%
33°C 25%
35°C 5%
32°C 2%
$24,056 Vol.
$24,056 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
25%
34°C
68%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 74%
33°C 25%
35°C 5%
32°C 2%
$24,056 Vol.
$24,056 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$1,774 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,265 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,771 Vol.
2%
33°C
$4,019 Vol.
25%
34°C
$6,801 Vol.
68%
35°C
$3,630 Vol.
5%
36°C
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$663 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET forecasts and supporting numerical models project a daily maximum near 33°C for Madrid on August 23 under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where highs average around 32°C and decline through the month. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (67.5% implied probability) over 33°C (24.5%) likely reflects model guidance showing potential for brief afternoon peaks above the baseline due to urban heat retention, strong insolation, and subtle warm-air advection, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ align with limited moisture and no synoptic forcing for stronger warming. Recent stable high-pressure conditions have kept forecasts consistent, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of peak heating observed at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$24,056Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET forecasts and supporting numerical models project a daily maximum near 33°C for Madrid on August 23 under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where highs average around 32°C and decline through the month. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (67.5% implied probability) over 33°C (24.5%) likely reflects model guidance showing potential for brief afternoon peaks above the baseline due to urban heat retention, strong insolation, and subtle warm-air advection, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ align with limited moisture and no synoptic forcing for stronger warming. Recent stable high-pressure conditions have kept forecasts consistent, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of peak heating observed at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24,056Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official AEMET forecasts and supporting numerical models project a daily maximum near 33°C for Madrid on August 23 under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where highs average around 32°C and decline through the month. Trader consensus favoring 34°C (67.5% implied probability) over 33°C (24.5%) likely reflects model guidance showing potential for brief afternoon peaks above the baseline due to urban heat retention, strong insolation, and subtle warm-air advection, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ align with limited moisture and no synoptic forcing for stronger warming. Recent stable high-pressure conditions have kept forecasts consistent, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of peak heating observed at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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