**Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, center on a daytime high near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southeast or easterly winds and a modest chance of scattered showers.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, local meteorological reports, and Chinese weather platforms, project highs of 90 °F (≈32 °C) or 31–33 °C, consistent with the subtropical monsoon pattern typical for late August when average August maxima hover around 31 °C. Persistent humidity (65–85 %), cloud cover, and light precipitation act as moderating influences that limit extreme heating while steering conditions toward the narrow 30–33 °C window. Trader-implied odds—led by 31 °C at 47 % and 32 °C at 31.5 %—closely track these model consensus runs and recent observations of daily peaks in the low 30s, reflecting the market’s aggregation of short-range forecast updates and climatological baselines rather than any abrupt shift from heatwaves or cooling fronts. Upcoming National Meteorological Center or Shanghai Meteorological Bureau updates will refine exact maxima and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 25. August?
31°C 47%
32°C 32%
30°C 12%
33°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
47%
32°C
32%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 47%
32°C 32%
30°C 12%
33°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
47%
32°C
32%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, center on a daytime high near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light southeast or easterly winds and a modest chance of scattered showers.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, local meteorological reports, and Chinese weather platforms, project highs of 90 °F (≈32 °C) or 31–33 °C, consistent with the subtropical monsoon pattern typical for late August when average August maxima hover around 31 °C. Persistent humidity (65–85 %), cloud cover, and light precipitation act as moderating influences that limit extreme heating while steering conditions toward the narrow 30–33 °C window. Trader-implied odds—led by 31 °C at 47 % and 32 °C at 31.5 %—closely track these model consensus runs and recent observations of daily peaks in the low 30s, reflecting the market’s aggregation of short-range forecast updates and climatological baselines rather than any abrupt shift from heatwaves or cooling fronts. Upcoming National Meteorological Center or Shanghai Meteorological Bureau updates will refine exact maxima and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen