Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70–80%. Persistent easterly flow and scattered cloud cover are limiting surface heating in this late-August subtropical regime, where climatological averages hover near 31°C. Recent days have featured similar conditions with showers suppressing stronger warming, keeping higher outcomes like 33°C or above at low implied probabilities. Model consensus supports this range, though variability in afternoon cloud breaks could nudge the exact peak. Resolution hinges on official observations within the 24-hour period ending August 24.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 24. August?
31°C 49%
32°C 41%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
$14,414 Vol.
$14,414 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
49%
32°C
41%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
32°C 41%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
$14,414 Vol.
$14,414 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
49%
32°C
41%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70–80%. Persistent easterly flow and scattered cloud cover are limiting surface heating in this late-August subtropical regime, where climatological averages hover near 31°C. Recent days have featured similar conditions with showers suppressing stronger warming, keeping higher outcomes like 33°C or above at low implied probabilities. Model consensus supports this range, though variability in afternoon cloud breaks could nudge the exact peak. Resolution hinges on official observations within the 24-hour period ending August 24.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen