**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on August 22, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market pricing.** Late-August climatology in the region typically produces highs in the low-to-mid 30s, and multiple forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles plus HKO guidance, converged tightly around this value amid mainly cloudy conditions with scattered showers that did not prevent the peak from reaching the threshold. The Hong Kong Observatory’s headquarters reading serves as the resolution standard, and real-time station data plus post-event verification left negligible room for deviation to neighboring integers. Only an unforeseen data revision or alternative station priority could alter the outcome, but current authoritative records show no such discrepancy.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 22. August?
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$162,688 Vol.
$162,688 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$162,688 Vol.
$162,688 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on August 22, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market pricing.** Late-August climatology in the region typically produces highs in the low-to-mid 30s, and multiple forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles plus HKO guidance, converged tightly around this value amid mainly cloudy conditions with scattered showers that did not prevent the peak from reaching the threshold. The Hong Kong Observatory’s headquarters reading serves as the resolution standard, and real-time station data plus post-event verification left negligible room for deviation to neighboring integers. Only an unforeseen data revision or alternative station priority could alter the outcome, but current authoritative records show no such discrepancy.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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