Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Shenzhen’s peak on August 24 because multiple forecast models indicate widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and relative humidity near 85% will limit daytime heating. Evaporative cooling from rainfall and reduced insolation under overcast skies typically suppress maxima by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky climatology, keeping values near the long-term August average high of 31–32°C. Light southerly flow offers little advection of warmer air, while the absence of a strong subtropical ridge reduces the likelihood of 34°C+ readings. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts in precipitation timing or intensity able to tip the narrow 30–32°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 24. August?
31°C 30%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 15%
NEU
$13,047 Vol.
NEU
$13,047 Vol.
24. Aug. 2026
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
26%
33°C
15%
34°C
6%
35°C oder höher
1%
31°C 30%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 15%
NEU
$13,047 Vol.
NEU
$13,047 Vol.
24. Aug. 2026
25°C oder darunter
$384 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$412 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,301 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1,064 Vol.
10%
30°C
$2,634 Vol.
15%
31°C
$3,023 Vol.
30%
32°C
$928 Vol.
26%
33°C
$1,079 Vol.
15%
34°C
$840 Vol.
6%
35°C oder höher
$745 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Shenzhen’s peak on August 24 because multiple forecast models indicate widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and relative humidity near 85% will limit daytime heating. Evaporative cooling from rainfall and reduced insolation under overcast skies typically suppress maxima by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky climatology, keeping values near the long-term August average high of 31–32°C. Light southerly flow offers little advection of warmer air, while the absence of a strong subtropical ridge reduces the likelihood of 34°C+ readings. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts in precipitation timing or intensity able to tip the narrow 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$13,047Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Shenzhen’s peak on August 24 because multiple forecast models indicate widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and relative humidity near 85% will limit daytime heating. Evaporative cooling from rainfall and reduced insolation under overcast skies typically suppress maxima by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky climatology, keeping values near the long-term August average high of 31–32°C. Light southerly flow offers little advection of warmer air, while the absence of a strong subtropical ridge reduces the likelihood of 34°C+ readings. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts in precipitation timing or intensity able to tip the narrow 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,047Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Shenzhen’s peak on August 24 because multiple forecast models indicate widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and relative humidity near 85% will limit daytime heating. Evaporative cooling from rainfall and reduced insolation under overcast skies typically suppress maxima by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky climatology, keeping values near the long-term August average high of 31–32°C. Light southerly flow offers little advection of warmer air, while the absence of a strong subtropical ridge reduces the likelihood of 34°C+ readings. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts in precipitation timing or intensity able to tip the narrow 30–32°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen