Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall over Shenzhen are anchoring trader focus on minimum temperatures of 25–28°C for August 24, with official forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid high humidity near 90% and light southerly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling under the marine layer while heavy showers suppress daytime heating, preventing sharper drops below 25°C or rises above 28°C. Model differences in precipitation timing and cloud thickness create the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes, as clearer breaks could allow modest additional cooling while sustained downpours would hold minima higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and local station observations overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 24. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 24. August?
23°C 46%
27°C 35%
25°C 34%
28°C 28%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
46%
24°C
7%
25°C
34%
26°C
10%
27°C
35%
28°C
28%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
12%
23°C 46%
27°C 35%
25°C 34%
28°C 28%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
21°C oder darunter
$802 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$55 Vol.
46%
24°C
$103 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$25 Vol.
1%
31°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall over Shenzhen are anchoring trader focus on minimum temperatures of 25–28°C for August 24, with official forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid high humidity near 90% and light southerly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling under the marine layer while heavy showers suppress daytime heating, preventing sharper drops below 25°C or rises above 28°C. Model differences in precipitation timing and cloud thickness create the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes, as clearer breaks could allow modest additional cooling while sustained downpours would hold minima higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and local station observations overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,229Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall over Shenzhen are anchoring trader focus on minimum temperatures of 25–28°C for August 24, with official forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid high humidity near 90% and light southerly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling under the marine layer while heavy showers suppress daytime heating, preventing sharper drops below 25°C or rises above 28°C. Model differences in precipitation timing and cloud thickness create the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes, as clearer breaks could allow modest additional cooling while sustained downpours would hold minima higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and local station observations overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,229Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall over Shenzhen are anchoring trader focus on minimum temperatures of 25–28°C for August 24, with official forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid high humidity near 90% and light southerly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling under the marine layer while heavy showers suppress daytime heating, preventing sharper drops below 25°C or rises above 28°C. Model differences in precipitation timing and cloud thickness create the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes, as clearer breaks could allow modest additional cooling while sustained downpours would hold minima higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and local station observations overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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