Strong model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional forecasts supports an overnight low of 28°C in Shenzhen on August 23, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance shows minimums clustered around 27–28°C amid scattered thunderstorms and tropical moisture, consistent with historical August baselines of 25–28°C. Trader positioning at 99.4% for 28°C reflects this tight forecast range. A realistic shift could occur only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper steering pattern change not currently indicated in latest model runs, though resolution criteria hinge on verified official measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 23. August?
28°C 99.4%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$24,528 Vol.
$24,528 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.4%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$24,528 Vol.
$24,528 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$255 Vol.
1%
25°C
$219 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$262 Vol.
1%
27°C
$324 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,439 Vol.
99%
29°C
$12,950 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,215 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,104 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$334 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional forecasts supports an overnight low of 28°C in Shenzhen on August 23, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance shows minimums clustered around 27–28°C amid scattered thunderstorms and tropical moisture, consistent with historical August baselines of 25–28°C. Trader positioning at 99.4% for 28°C reflects this tight forecast range. A realistic shift could occur only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper steering pattern change not currently indicated in latest model runs, though resolution criteria hinge on verified official measurements.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$24,528Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional forecasts supports an overnight low of 28°C in Shenzhen on August 23, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance shows minimums clustered around 27–28°C amid scattered thunderstorms and tropical moisture, consistent with historical August baselines of 25–28°C. Trader positioning at 99.4% for 28°C reflects this tight forecast range. A realistic shift could occur only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper steering pattern change not currently indicated in latest model runs, though resolution criteria hinge on verified official measurements.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24,528Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and regional forecasts supports an overnight low of 28°C in Shenzhen on August 23, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance shows minimums clustered around 27–28°C amid scattered thunderstorms and tropical moisture, consistent with historical August baselines of 25–28°C. Trader positioning at 99.4% for 28°C reflects this tight forecast range. A realistic shift could occur only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper steering pattern change not currently indicated in latest model runs, though resolution criteria hinge on verified official measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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