**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models drive the strong market consensus around 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 24.** Current runs show a high-pressure ridge supporting easterly flow with daytime highs climbing from overnight lows near 15°C to peaks of 26–28°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Light precipitation chances increase later in the day, which could cap the exact peak depending on cloud timing and any convective development. This aligns closely with climatological late-August norms near 24.6°C while reflecting modest warming from recent stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh model spread and resolution criteria favoring 27°C, with 28°C as the clear secondary outcome and lower probabilities reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or showers. Updated model guidance overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 24. August?
27°C 52%
28°C 25%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
NEU
$20,333 Vol.
NEU
$20,333 Vol.
24. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
15%
27°C
52%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 25%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
NEU
$20,333 Vol.
NEU
$20,333 Vol.
24. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$933 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,023 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,940 Vol.
5%
26°C
$3,059 Vol.
15%
27°C
$4,228 Vol.
52%
28°C
$3,339 Vol.
25%
29°C
$2,324 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1,631 Vol.
2%
31°C
$896 Vol.
1%
32°C
$832 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$185 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models drive the strong market consensus around 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 24.**
Current runs show a high-pressure ridge supporting easterly flow with daytime highs climbing from overnight lows near 15°C to peaks of 26–28°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Light precipitation chances increase later in the day, which could cap the exact peak depending on cloud timing and any convective development. This aligns closely with climatological late-August norms near 24.6°C while reflecting modest warming from recent stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh model spread and resolution criteria favoring 27°C, with 28°C as the clear secondary outcome and lower probabilities reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or showers. Updated model guidance overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Volumen
$20,333Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models drive the strong market consensus around 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 24.**
Current runs show a high-pressure ridge supporting easterly flow with daytime highs climbing from overnight lows near 15°C to peaks of 26–28°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Light precipitation chances increase later in the day, which could cap the exact peak depending on cloud timing and any convective development. This aligns closely with climatological late-August norms near 24.6°C while reflecting modest warming from recent stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh model spread and resolution criteria favoring 27°C, with 28°C as the clear secondary outcome and lower probabilities reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or showers. Updated model guidance overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,333Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models drive the strong market consensus around 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 24.** Current runs show a high-pressure ridge supporting easterly flow with daytime highs climbing from overnight lows near 15°C to peaks of 26–28°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Light precipitation chances increase later in the day, which could cap the exact peak depending on cloud timing and any convective development. This aligns closely with climatological late-August norms near 24.6°C while reflecting modest warming from recent stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh model spread and resolution criteria favoring 27°C, with 28°C as the clear secondary outcome and lower probabilities reflecting downside risks from increased cloud cover or showers. Updated model guidance overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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