Forecast models and Environment Canada guidance point to a daily maximum near 21°C in Toronto on August 23, driven by a late-summer cooling pattern with northeasterly flow and possible showers moderating daytime heating. This places the outcome comfortably below the 25°C seasonal normal while aligning with broader August 2026 outlooks showing temperatures averaging about 1°C below historical baselines amid increased thunderstorm activity. Recent model consensus emphasizes limited insolation from cloud cover and lake-influenced air masses, reducing the likelihood of warmer readings above 23°C. Traders appear to weight these official short-range updates heavily, with implied probabilities clustering tightly around the 20–22°C range as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 23. August?
21°C 38%
22°C 24%
20°C 22%
19°C 4%
$16,649 Vol.
$16,649 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
22%
21°C
38%
22°C
24%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 38%
22°C 24%
20°C 22%
19°C 4%
$16,649 Vol.
$16,649 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
22%
21°C
38%
22°C
24%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and Environment Canada guidance point to a daily maximum near 21°C in Toronto on August 23, driven by a late-summer cooling pattern with northeasterly flow and possible showers moderating daytime heating. This places the outcome comfortably below the 25°C seasonal normal while aligning with broader August 2026 outlooks showing temperatures averaging about 1°C below historical baselines amid increased thunderstorm activity. Recent model consensus emphasizes limited insolation from cloud cover and lake-influenced air masses, reducing the likelihood of warmer readings above 23°C. Traders appear to weight these official short-range updates heavily, with implied probabilities clustering tightly around the 20–22°C range as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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