National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a strong high-pressure ridge driving a heat wave across Southern California, but persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow are moderating temperatures at coastal measurement points like Los Angeles International Airport. This setup favors daily highs in the low-to-mid 80s on August 25, with recent model runs showing only modest day-to-day warming. The near-even market weighting between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins reflects uncertainty in the precise afternoon peak, driven by small differences in predicted wind strength, cloud cover timing, and how far the marine layer mixes inland. Inland areas are expected to climb well into the 90s or higher, yet the resolution station's proximity to the ocean keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 25. August?
82-83°F 44%
84-85°F 41%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 15%
77°F oder niedriger
2%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
44%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
2%
96°F oder höher
3%
82-83°F 44%
84-85°F 41%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 15%
77°F oder niedriger
2%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
44%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
2%
96°F oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a strong high-pressure ridge driving a heat wave across Southern California, but persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow are moderating temperatures at coastal measurement points like Los Angeles International Airport. This setup favors daily highs in the low-to-mid 80s on August 25, with recent model runs showing only modest day-to-day warming. The near-even market weighting between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins reflects uncertainty in the precise afternoon peak, driven by small differences in predicted wind strength, cloud cover timing, and how far the marine layer mixes inland. Inland areas are expected to climb well into the 90s or higher, yet the resolution station's proximity to the ocean keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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