Ongoing atmospheric instability from Tropical Wave #37, combined with Panama's wet-season humidity and frequent convective activity, drives the closely matched market odds for the August 25 minimum in Panama City. Official forecasts indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling, yet model spreads and variable steering winds allow for occasional clearer intervals that could permit greater nocturnal drops. Historical August averages of 24 °C provide baseline context, while above-normal seasonal temperatures tied to equatorial Pacific warming add upward pressure on the distribution. Traders weigh the next IMHPA and global model updates, which will clarify whether enhanced convection or transient clear spells shift the implied probabilities across the 21–31 °C resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Panama City am 25. August?
21°C oder darunter 69%
31°C oder höher 59%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C oder darunter
69%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C oder höher
59%
21°C oder darunter 69%
31°C oder höher 59%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C oder darunter
69%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C oder höher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing atmospheric instability from Tropical Wave #37, combined with Panama's wet-season humidity and frequent convective activity, drives the closely matched market odds for the August 25 minimum in Panama City. Official forecasts indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling, yet model spreads and variable steering winds allow for occasional clearer intervals that could permit greater nocturnal drops. Historical August averages of 24 °C provide baseline context, while above-normal seasonal temperatures tied to equatorial Pacific warming add upward pressure on the distribution. Traders weigh the next IMHPA and global model updates, which will clarify whether enhanced convection or transient clear spells shift the implied probabilities across the 21–31 °C resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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