Current short-term forecasts from regional models indicate a peak near 32°C in Panama City on August 24, underpinning the market's leading implied probability for that outcome amid closely bunched probabilities for 31–33°C. In Panama's rainy-season regime, afternoon convective clouds and showers driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently limit daytime maxima by reducing insolation, with timing and coverage of storms creating the key uncertainty between adjacent temperature thresholds. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–31°C, occasionally reaching 32–33°C under clearer, drier conditions; traders weigh the latest model runs and satellite trends on moisture and steering flow, with official observations from local meteorological services expected to resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 24. August?
32°C 40%
33°C 32%
31°C 21%
30°C 9%
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
21%
32°C
40%
33°C
32%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C oder höher
1%
32°C 40%
33°C 32%
31°C 21%
30°C 9%
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
21%
32°C
40%
33°C
32%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from regional models indicate a peak near 32°C in Panama City on August 24, underpinning the market's leading implied probability for that outcome amid closely bunched probabilities for 31–33°C. In Panama's rainy-season regime, afternoon convective clouds and showers driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently limit daytime maxima by reducing insolation, with timing and coverage of storms creating the key uncertainty between adjacent temperature thresholds. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–31°C, occasionally reaching 32–33°C under clearer, drier conditions; traders weigh the latest model runs and satellite trends on moisture and steering flow, with official observations from local meteorological services expected to resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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