Persistent high pressure and clear skies over Central Texas are sustaining a late-August heat wave, driving National Weather Service guidance for a peak near 104–105°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on August 23. Low dew points and strong subsidence enhance surface heating above the seasonal 99–100°F baseline, with model consensus split between full insolation reaching 106–107°F versus minor afternoon mixing or stray clouds capping readings one to two degrees lower. These factors explain the near-even 49% and 48% market-implied odds on the top two bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect limited upside from atypical warming or downside from any unexpected cloud cover. Final official observations will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 23. August?
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 39%
108-109°F 2.8%
102-103°F 2%
$20,105 Vol.
$20,105 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
95°F oder darunter
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
53%
106-107°F
39%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F oder höher
<1%
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 39%
108-109°F 2.8%
102-103°F 2%
$20,105 Vol.
$20,105 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
95°F oder darunter
$299 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$463 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$217 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,527 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$3,495 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$4,275 Vol.
53%
106-107°F
$5,689 Vol.
39%
108-109°F
$2,554 Vol.
3%
110-111°F
$948 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$302 Vol.
<1%
114°F oder höher
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear skies over Central Texas are sustaining a late-August heat wave, driving National Weather Service guidance for a peak near 104–105°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on August 23. Low dew points and strong subsidence enhance surface heating above the seasonal 99–100°F baseline, with model consensus split between full insolation reaching 106–107°F versus minor afternoon mixing or stray clouds capping readings one to two degrees lower. These factors explain the near-even 49% and 48% market-implied odds on the top two bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect limited upside from atypical warming or downside from any unexpected cloud cover. Final official observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$20,105Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and clear skies over Central Texas are sustaining a late-August heat wave, driving National Weather Service guidance for a peak near 104–105°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on August 23. Low dew points and strong subsidence enhance surface heating above the seasonal 99–100°F baseline, with model consensus split between full insolation reaching 106–107°F versus minor afternoon mixing or stray clouds capping readings one to two degrees lower. These factors explain the near-even 49% and 48% market-implied odds on the top two bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect limited upside from atypical warming or downside from any unexpected cloud cover. Final official observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,105Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and clear skies over Central Texas are sustaining a late-August heat wave, driving National Weather Service guidance for a peak near 104–105°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on August 23. Low dew points and strong subsidence enhance surface heating above the seasonal 99–100°F baseline, with model consensus split between full insolation reaching 106–107°F versus minor afternoon mixing or stray clouds capping readings one to two degrees lower. These factors explain the near-even 49% and 48% market-implied odds on the top two bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect limited upside from atypical warming or downside from any unexpected cloud cover. Final official observations will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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