Skip to main content
icon for Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?

Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?

icon for Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?

Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?

Aug. 23

Aug. 24

Aug. 23

Aug. 24

104-105°F 55%

102-103°F 32%

106-107°F 12%

100-101°F 4%

Polymarket
NEU

104-105°F 55%

102-103°F 32%

106-107°F 12%

100-101°F 4%

Polymarket
NEU

35°C oder niedriger

$65 Vol.

<1%

96-97°F

$158 Vol.

1%

98-99°F

$130 Vol.

1%

100-101°F

$295 Vol.

4%

102-103°F

$651 Vol.

32%

104-105°F

$1,455 Vol.

55%

106-107°F

$254 Vol.

12%

108-109°F

$143 Vol.

3%

110-111°F

$143 Vol.

1%

112-113°F

$117 Vol.

1%

114°F oder höher

$131 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors continued heat with limited cloud cover or moisture. Consensus forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate show afternoon maxima near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with August climatology that routinely produces upper-90s to low-100s readings but with this episode running slightly above normal. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary introduce the secondary probability mass at 102-103°F, while warmer outliers remain low-probability absent unexpected ridging intensification. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighting.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,540
Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors continued heat with limited cloud cover or moisture. Consensus forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate show afternoon maxima near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with August climatology that routinely produces upper-90s to low-100s readings but with this episode running slightly above normal. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary introduce the secondary probability mass at 102-103°F, while warmer outliers remain low-probability absent unexpected ridging intensification. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighting.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,540
Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Austin am 23. August zwischen 104-105°F liegen?

Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Austin am 23. August zwischen 104-105°F liegen?

50%
Ja
icon for Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August 73°F oder darunter liegen?

Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August 73°F oder darunter liegen?

36%
Ja
icon for Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 23. August zwischen 74-75°F liegen?

Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 23. August zwischen 74-75°F liegen?

95%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „104-105°F" mit 55%, gefolgt von „102-103°F" mit 32%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 55¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 55% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 22, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?" ist „104-105°F" mit 55%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 55% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „102-103°F" mit 32%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 24. August?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.