Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to 35–36°C peaks for Chengdu on August 24 because the latest numerical weather prediction runs show a ridge of high pressure allowing brief clearing and daytime heating amid elevated humidity and weak steering winds. Regional models diverge modestly on the exact timing of any thundershowers, which could suppress the maximum by 1–2°C if they arrive earlier than anticipated. This range aligns with climatological August norms for the Sichuan Basin, where afternoon temperatures frequently reach the mid-30s before monsoon moisture increases. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 24. August?
36°C 30%
35°C 24%
34°C 17%
37°C 16%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
17%
35°C
24%
36°C
30%
37°C
16%
38°C oder höher
2%
36°C 30%
35°C 24%
34°C 17%
37°C 16%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
28°C oder darunter
$146 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$145 Vol.
1%
31°C
$30 Vol.
1%
32°C
$466 Vol.
3%
33°C
$1,001 Vol.
5%
34°C
$888 Vol.
17%
35°C
$1,113 Vol.
24%
36°C
$950 Vol.
30%
37°C
$889 Vol.
16%
38°C oder höher
$2,343 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to 35–36°C peaks for Chengdu on August 24 because the latest numerical weather prediction runs show a ridge of high pressure allowing brief clearing and daytime heating amid elevated humidity and weak steering winds. Regional models diverge modestly on the exact timing of any thundershowers, which could suppress the maximum by 1–2°C if they arrive earlier than anticipated. This range aligns with climatological August norms for the Sichuan Basin, where afternoon temperatures frequently reach the mid-30s before monsoon moisture increases. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$7,979Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to 35–36°C peaks for Chengdu on August 24 because the latest numerical weather prediction runs show a ridge of high pressure allowing brief clearing and daytime heating amid elevated humidity and weak steering winds. Regional models diverge modestly on the exact timing of any thundershowers, which could suppress the maximum by 1–2°C if they arrive earlier than anticipated. This range aligns with climatological August norms for the Sichuan Basin, where afternoon temperatures frequently reach the mid-30s before monsoon moisture increases. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,979Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to 35–36°C peaks for Chengdu on August 24 because the latest numerical weather prediction runs show a ridge of high pressure allowing brief clearing and daytime heating amid elevated humidity and weak steering winds. Regional models diverge modestly on the exact timing of any thundershowers, which could suppress the maximum by 1–2°C if they arrive earlier than anticipated. This range aligns with climatological August norms for the Sichuan Basin, where afternoon temperatures frequently reach the mid-30s before monsoon moisture increases. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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