National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Seattle on August 23 centers on a daily maximum of 73–75 °F under stable onshore flow from the Pacific, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and stronger marine-layer capping. This narrow spread aligns with late-August climatology near Sea-Tac, where seasonal norms hover around 75–76 °F as the Pacific high weakens and marine air intrusions moderate temperatures. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 72–77 °F bins because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions and no anomalous warmth or rapid cooling signals, leaving only modest scope for a one-degree shift before official observations finalize the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 23. August?
74-75°F 42%
72-73°F 38%
76-77°F 12%
70-71°F 7%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
42%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 42%
72-73°F 38%
76-77°F 12%
70-71°F 7%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
65°F or below
$315 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$519 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$211 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$650 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$908 Vol.
38%
74-75°F
$1,292 Vol.
42%
76-77°F
$1,352 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$403 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$59 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$162 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Seattle on August 23 centers on a daily maximum of 73–75 °F under stable onshore flow from the Pacific, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and stronger marine-layer capping. This narrow spread aligns with late-August climatology near Sea-Tac, where seasonal norms hover around 75–76 °F as the Pacific high weakens and marine air intrusions moderate temperatures. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 72–77 °F bins because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions and no anomalous warmth or rapid cooling signals, leaving only modest scope for a one-degree shift before official observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$6,175Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Seattle on August 23 centers on a daily maximum of 73–75 °F under stable onshore flow from the Pacific, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and stronger marine-layer capping. This narrow spread aligns with late-August climatology near Sea-Tac, where seasonal norms hover around 75–76 °F as the Pacific high weakens and marine air intrusions moderate temperatures. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 72–77 °F bins because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions and no anomalous warmth or rapid cooling signals, leaving only modest scope for a one-degree shift before official observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,175Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Seattle on August 23 centers on a daily maximum of 73–75 °F under stable onshore flow from the Pacific, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and stronger marine-layer capping. This narrow spread aligns with late-August climatology near Sea-Tac, where seasonal norms hover around 75–76 °F as the Pacific high weakens and marine air intrusions moderate temperatures. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 72–77 °F bins because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions and no anomalous warmth or rapid cooling signals, leaving only modest scope for a one-degree shift before official observations finalize the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen