Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project mostly sunny conditions across the New York metro area on August 25 with daytime highs centered near 80–82°F, supporting the tight clustering between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Subtle forecast spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dewpoint trends, and any thin high-cloud interference that could shave a degree or two off peak readings at Central Park (KNYC). The Climate Prediction Center’s 8–14-day outlook assigns a 33–40% chance of below-average temperatures for the final week of August, introducing modest downside risk that helps explain why the 78–79°F outcome holds a narrow lead in trader consensus while still leaving room for an 80–81°F resolution if insolation and southerly flow verify stronger than expected.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 25. August?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 25. August?
78-79°F 43%
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 17%
82-83°F 8%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 43%
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 17%
82-83°F 8%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
67°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$2 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$6 Vol.
17%
78-79°F
$89 Vol.
43%
80-81°F
$19 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$50 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project mostly sunny conditions across the New York metro area on August 25 with daytime highs centered near 80–82°F, supporting the tight clustering between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Subtle forecast spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dewpoint trends, and any thin high-cloud interference that could shave a degree or two off peak readings at Central Park (KNYC). The Climate Prediction Center’s 8–14-day outlook assigns a 33–40% chance of below-average temperatures for the final week of August, introducing modest downside risk that helps explain why the 78–79°F outcome holds a narrow lead in trader consensus while still leaving room for an 80–81°F resolution if insolation and southerly flow verify stronger than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$181Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project mostly sunny conditions across the New York metro area on August 25 with daytime highs centered near 80–82°F, supporting the tight clustering between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Subtle forecast spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dewpoint trends, and any thin high-cloud interference that could shave a degree or two off peak readings at Central Park (KNYC). The Climate Prediction Center’s 8–14-day outlook assigns a 33–40% chance of below-average temperatures for the final week of August, introducing modest downside risk that helps explain why the 78–79°F outcome holds a narrow lead in trader consensus while still leaving room for an 80–81°F resolution if insolation and southerly flow verify stronger than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$181Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project mostly sunny conditions across the New York metro area on August 25 with daytime highs centered near 80–82°F, supporting the tight clustering between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Subtle forecast spread arises from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dewpoint trends, and any thin high-cloud interference that could shave a degree or two off peak readings at Central Park (KNYC). The Climate Prediction Center’s 8–14-day outlook assigns a 33–40% chance of below-average temperatures for the final week of August, introducing modest downside risk that helps explain why the 78–79°F outcome holds a narrow lead in trader consensus while still leaving room for an 80–81°F resolution if insolation and southerly flow verify stronger than expected.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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