Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 25. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 25. August?
22°C 29%
21°C 27%
23°C 25%
26°C 14%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
4%
19°C
8%
20°C
13%
21°C
27%
22°C
29%
23°C
25%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 29%
21°C 27%
23°C 25%
26°C 14%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
$23 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
29%
23°C
$130 Vol.
25%
24°C
$23 Vol.
8%
25°C
$16 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$31 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$223Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$223Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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